Thursday, April 29, 2010

Kentucky Derby


The first Saturday in May is a National Holiday if you live in Louisville Kentucky. But if you are in Santa Barbara you must guide your GPS to the Earl Warren Fairgrounds to place your bets.
http://www.earlwarren.com/

I am not a huge fan of spending much time in this locale. The original betting parlor on the left as you walk in has more character than the main area yet it too is filled with cigarette smoking bettors dying for a drink and a 1 to 5 favorite to yell at to win. But nonetheless this is where you need to go to place your bets.

Now, you ask, who do I bet on in this year's Derby? Well, because I like you I will tell you what I think will happen on Saturday. First the race is going to be extremely "Heavily Pressured" as normally is the case. No real strong favorite so many, many horses will be going off at crazy high odds. So if you have a horse you like and it is at odds of say 10-1 or higher, please put $2 on him/her and hope for the best.

Some live longshots are: Ice Box, Line of David, Stately Victor, Devil may Care, Jackson Bend, Awesome Act, Dublin, and Super Saver.

If you would like some free past performances go here:

http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/2010/136.html

I see the race being won by one of the 4 closers, in order of my preference:
Ice Box, Awesome Act, Dublin, and Stately Victor.

My prediction for final outcome is as follows:
1. Ice Box (2)
2. Mission Impazible (14)
3. Dublin (17)
4. Line of David (5)

I am confident that Ice Box will come in at least 2nd, the others are all guesses. Use them in boxes, exotics, and in wheels.

This Saturday is going to be a huge killing for somebody. Bet wisely and have fun.
If you want to bet the Superfecta 2,14,17,5 that would cost you a dollar or $24 to box all 4. Last years $1 Superfecta paid: $278,503.20

Good Luck.
Senor Savvy, the most interesting man in Santa Barbara....


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